Groupon shocked Wall Street with an unexpected Q1 2025 profit, laughing in the face of predicted losses. The company posted earnings of $0.34 per share while trimming costs and boosting North American billings by 11%. Despite a 5% dip in global revenue, management raised full-year growth targets to 3-5%. International markets struggled, but excluding Italy, grew 4%. The surprising turnaround has analysts scrambling to revise their gloomy forecasts.

Despite Wall Street’s gloomy predictions of another quarterly loss, Groupon shocked analysts by turning a profit in Q1 2025. The surprise performance, coupled with an upbeat outlook for the rest of the year, sent investors scrambling to reassess the local commerce company’s trajectory.
In a stunning reversal, Groupon defied Wall Street pessimism, delivering unexpected profits and forcing analysts to rethink their negative outlook.
While global revenue dipped 5% compared to the previous year, the company’s cost-cutting measures and operational improvements helped push it into profitable territory. Most significantly, North America Local – Groupon’s bread and butter – showed remarkable resilience with barely a blip in revenue decline and an impressive 11% surge in billings. The company’s strong operating profit demonstrates the effectiveness of its core business operations.
The international scene wasn’t quite as rosy, with an 8% revenue decline overall. But there’s a silver lining – strip away Italy’s disappointing numbers, and you’re looking at a healthy 4% growth. Who knew Italian deals could be so problematic?
Management isn’t just sitting pretty on these results. They’ve raised their full-year 2025 billings growth target to 3-5%, a bold move that suggests they’re seeing something promising in their crystal ball. The focus? Doubling down on top-performing cities and strengthening their local marketplace offering.
The company’s marketplace strategy seems to be paying off, particularly in North America. By focusing on building stronger relationships with local merchants and consumers, while upgrading their technology infrastructure, Groupon’s managed to turn the tide on expectations. The company’s Q1 performance delivered exceeded guidance on billings.
The earnings report showed EPS of $0.34, significantly outperforming market expectations. The market’s reaction was predictably enthusiastic. After all, who doesn’t love a good comeback story? Analysts who had been wringing their hands over potential losses found themselves eating humble pie as shares responded favorably to the earnings beat.
Looking ahead, Groupon’s CEO emphasized the company’s commitment to sustainable growth and long-term profitability. It’s a far cry from the doom and gloom predictions that preceded these results. Sometimes Wall Street gets it wrong – and this quarter, they got it spectacularly wrong.